Covid-19: False-facts and scientific facts

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We are now half-way through Anxiety fortnight, here in the UK, according to the timeline I created roughly a month ago. The Anxiety fortnight, in my timeline, involves deaths from the disease rising to double figures and the beginning of panic buying. I've been tempted to modify the graph since early February, in order to increase its accuracy, but I've decided to leave it alone, as it is seems to be fairly accurate so far.

Here's a reminder of how the virus was spreading a month ago, shown on this John Hopkins live feed on the 8th February.

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As you can see, nowhere in Europe had reached 16 cases at that point. A month later, Italy has nearly 6,000 cases and 200 dead. Italy is therefore a fortnight ahead of us in the UK, timeline-wise. France and Germany are approaching 1,000 cases, which puts them roughly a week ahead of us. The UK currently has 273, which is roughly correct for my timeline graph.

Panic-buying is now occurring through Western Europe. For some bizarre reason, toilet rolls are the main target item. This has come as a surprise, as toilet rolls are hardly a critical survival item; neither are they in short supply. It shows that panic-buying can be more an indication of Western cultural mentality than intelligent prioritisation. It's only poo, people; toilet rolls are not going to save your life!

If my timeline continues to be accurate, then we can see that Europe and North America will enter a state of national emergency in May. This will be similar to the conditions that Wuhan has been in since February. There will be lockdowns and very little activity on the street. The hospitals will be overloaded and become the scene of desperation and confrontations. Food will be available but in reduced amounts. It won't necessarily be anarchy - China has maintained social control to a large extent - but it will feel eerie and mentally exhausting.

I wanted to write this blog today to talk again about what we can do. I also wanted to make people aware of what's true, according to the scientific information. Western governments and health organisations have been making a big thing about giving us all correct information and warning us about 'false-facts' and 'internet myths'. Unfortunately, they themselves have spouted rubbish, half-truths and downright deceptions from the very beginning, probably to preserve the stock-market rather than save lives. During this entire time, I've been working from scientific papers, which I think are the best source of correct data. I also recommend Chris Martenson's Peak Prosperity blogs on youtube, as he's also followed the same approach.

Here are ten key facts and nuggets of advice:

1) People can be carrying the virus and not show symptoms. This is known as asymptomatic spread. They can do this for a fortnight and there is evidence this can even go on for four weeks. While they carry the virus, they can pass it on to others. Therefore, do not assume that a healthy-looking person is free of the virus.

2) There is strong evidence that the virus can be spread via aerosol droplets. This explains why so many people were infected on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, because the fine droplets were floating through the ship's HVAC, it's Hybrid Ventilation and Air-Conditioning system.

3) Since the virus can spread as an aerosol, N95 masks and surgical masks help you avoid catching the virus. An N95 mask, fitted tight to the face is recommended in any enclosed space containing other people (such as a bus, train, open-plan office, classroom etc). A surgical mask is less effective, as it is only designed to stop large droplets, and stop the wearer coughing out germs, but it is definitely worthwhile. If you can't obtain either item, any fine cloth you can breathe through, such as cotton, silk or even paper, wrapped around the face, is better than nothing.

4) Also, since the virus can spread as an aerosol, Goggles or safety-glasses of some kind are also worthwhile. The goggles or safety glasses prevent droplets reaching the eyes. They also discourage the wearer from touching their eyes, an important method for the virus to enter the body.

5) Take a balanced approach. If you're walking in the park by yourself, there is no need to wear a biohazard suit and look like a character from an apocalypse movie. If you're under forty years of age, your risk level is low, so it's not the end of the world. Children, according to the science so far, are extremely unlikely to die from the virus. Intelligent precautions, yes, fortified bunker in the woods, no.

6) Focus on protecting the high risk group. The elderly, and those who already have impaired immune systems or respiratory conditions, are by far the high-risk group. Do not assume that because you feel fine, you can't infect them. Do not lessen your time spent with them, as they need the company, but avoid hugging, kissing and close contact. Wash your hands as soon as you enter their houses. If you have any concern that you've become infected (remember point 1!), then wear a mask.

7) Have a store of food available but don't go crazy. There is no sign, yet, that there will be a collapse in food supplies. There's therefore no need to go 'nuclear winter' with regard to food supplies. Then again, I think it's good if there is some backup. I've been recommending that people have a month's supply of food, in case of shortages (I've actually been recommending that since last year but that's another story). When buying this food store, I recommend that you buy food that you like eating, and that also a long shelf-life. This will mean that you will happily eat it, which is good psychologically. What's more, you'll also happily eat it when the emergency is over. Fresh meat, fruit and veg have very short shelf-lives, so look for your vitamin C and amino-acids with such products as tinned fruit, non-salted nuts and seeds, and tinned fish. Highly salted foods might last long but your body will suffer with all that salt… but please, approach it in a measured way by buying an extra amount over several weeks. Grabbing every bag of dried pasta on the shelf and leaving an elderly lady with nothing is despicable behaviour. I bought some respirator masks from my Homebase branch in January (where they were already running out) but I only bought two so that other people would be able to purchase what they needed.

8) Have a supply of natural anti-viral medicines. Many of them are scientifically proven to help protect against viral infections (it's not just hippy hokum). For more information on what's available, read this earlier blog article.

9) Lead a healthy lifestyle if at all possible. Alcohol suppresses the immune system, so does lack of sleep and stress. Even if you are young and therefore a low risk group, you can still fall very ill if you are infected. What's more, you can become a carrier and spread it to others. Therefore, please cut out the booze and late nights. With regard to stress, I know horrible bosses are tough to avoid but if you have one, do everything you can to keep them at a distance.

10) Don't attend big gatherings. The virus is a pandemic. There is now almost no place in the world that is definitely free of it. It's therefore very important that everyone avoids big gatherings for the rest of this year, at the very least.

There are lots of other points but I won't overload the reader. Our governments' advice to regularly wash hands and use a tissue is correct; that is important.The problem with official advice, here in the West, has been that we need to do a lot more, according to the science, the clinical evidence and the actual, on-the-spot reports.

Of course, you can ignore all of this if you want to. Recently, the Prime Minister of Britain, Boris Johnson, while being interviewed on morning television said that one approach to dealing with the Covid-19 deadly pandemic is to 'take it on the chin'. He thought it would be "business as usual" for the "overwhelming majority" of people in the UK. I guess we'll see who is correct.